MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 06:59:37| >> :600:1054515:1054515:
Wrexham AFC
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
4 - 1
Farnborough Town

Mullin (49', 82', 90'), Lee (78')
Lee (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pendlebury (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Wrexham and Farnborough Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Aldershot
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League South

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Farnborough Town

Although Wrexham currently reside in the National League, in truth they have built a squad compiled of EFL standard players, so they should not have too much trouble against National League South opposition. With so much on the line, Farnborough will give it their all, but on paper they do not have the quality to pose too many problems for their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 78.98%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 7.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.28%) and 1-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.6%), while for a Farnborough Town win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawFarnborough Town
78.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 13.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 7.15% (-0.0019 -0)
Both teams to score 44.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.03% (0.014000000000003 0.01)36.97% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.85% (0.013999999999996 0.01)59.15% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.53% (0.007000000000005 0.01)7.47% (-0.0038999999999998 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.14% (0.012 0.01)26.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.09% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)51.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)85.95%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 78.97%
    Farnborough Town 7.15%
    Draw 13.87%
WrexhamDrawFarnborough Town
2-0 @ 13.05%
3-0 @ 11.28%
1-0 @ 10.06%
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 7.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 7.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 3.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.43%
6-0 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 78.97%
1-1 @ 6.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 13.87%
0-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 7.15%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Farnborough Town

Wrexham
94.1%
Draw
0.0%
Farnborough Town
5.9%
17
rhs 2.0
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