Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uxbridge win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Cobham had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uxbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.82%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Cobham win was 2-1 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uxbridge would win this match.