Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
swissporarena
Luzern2 - 2Hibernian
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Luzern and Hibernian.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luzern 1-1 Young Boys
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 Hibernian
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luzern | Draw | Hibernian |
39.72% ( 1.01) | 24.33% ( -0.29) | 35.95% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 60.09% ( 0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.4% ( 1.29) | 42.6% ( -1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.99% ( 1.27) | 65% ( -1.28) |
Luzern Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% ( 1.06) | 21.51% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% ( 1.61) | 54.57% ( -1.61) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% ( 0.2) | 23.43% ( -0.21) |