MX23RW : Thursday, January 16 07:56:57| >> :60:718:718:
Euro Under-17s Championship | Final
Jun 5, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro

Italy U17s
3 - 0
Portugal U17s

Coletta (7'), Camarda (16', 50')
Sala (57'), Camarda (69'), Mantini (80'), Mosconi (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pedro Ferreira da Silva (36'), Pires Mota (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Euro Under-17s Championship clash between Italy Under-17s and Portugal Under-17s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Under-17s

Last Game: Denmark U17s 0-1 Italy U17s
Sunday, June 2 at 6.30pm in European Under-17s Championship

Portugal Under-17s

Last Game: Serbia U17s 2-3 Portugal U17s
Sunday, June 2 at 4pm in European Under-17s Championship

We said: Italy Under-17s 2-1 Portugal Under-17s

 Italy have been the most consistent side throughout the tournament in Cyprus, and while we expect the final to be a close-fought affair, we believe that the Azzurri will do enough to claim a narrow victory and their first European Under-17 Championship title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-17s win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Portugal Under-17s had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-17s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Portugal Under-17s win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-17s would win this match.

Result
Italy Under-17sDrawPortugal Under-17s
44.61% (2.853 2.85) 24.94% (0.331 0.33) 30.45% (-3.178 -3.18)
Both teams to score 56.1% (-2.46 -2.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (-2.635 -2.64)47.01% (2.641 2.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-2.506 -2.51)69.26% (2.512 2.51)
Italy Under-17s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (0.19800000000001 0.2)21.11% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (0.304 0.3)53.95% (-0.297 -0.3)
Portugal Under-17s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-3.302 -3.3)28.88% (3.308 3.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (-4.298 -4.3)64.75% (4.305 4.31)
Score Analysis
    Italy Under-17s 44.61%
    Portugal Under-17s 30.45%
    Draw 24.94%
Italy Under-17sDrawPortugal Under-17s
1-0 @ 9.48% (1.059 1.06)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.278 0.28)
2-0 @ 7.38% (0.862 0.86)
3-1 @ 4.75% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.466 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.077 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.189 0.19)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 44.61%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.649 0.65)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.367 -0.37)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.143 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.518 -0.52)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.363 -0.36)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.532 -0.53)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.397 -0.4)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.355 -0.36)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.45%

How you voted: Winner SF1 vs Winner SF2

Winner Semi-final 1
62.5%
Draw
0.0%
Winner Semi-final 2
37.5%
8
rhs 2.0
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