Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.09%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
