Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.94%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.03) 
