Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.