Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 23, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol0 - 1Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Nacional |
| 55.75% | 23.23% | 21.04% |
| Both teams to score 52.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.64% | 47.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.42% | 69.58% |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% | 16.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.2% | 46.81% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% | 36.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.43% | 73.58% |
| Score Analysis |
Penarol 55.75%
Nacional 21.04%
Draw 23.22%
| Penarol | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.6% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 0.93% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.09% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.19% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.04% |
How you voted: Penarol vs Nacional
Penarol
75.0%Draw
8.3%Nacional
16.7%24
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2021 1.30am
Jul 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
2-0
Penarol
Dec 13, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
3-2
Nacional
Formiliano (28'), Terans (37'), Nahuelpan (88')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
Aug 9, 2020 7pm
