Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Jul 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 0Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 27.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Penarol |
| 27.32% | 27.41% | 45.28% |
| Both teams to score 46.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.72% | 58.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.09% | 78.91% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% | 37.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.07% | 73.93% |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% | 25.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.41% | 60.59% |
| Score Analysis |
Nacional 27.32%
Penarol 45.27%
Draw 27.4%
| Nacional | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 6.36% 2-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.32% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.54% 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-3 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-4 @ 1.36% 1-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.27% |
How you voted: Nacional vs Penarol
Nacional
60.0%Draw
40.0%Penarol
0.0%5
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Penarol
3-2
Nacional
Formiliano (28'), Terans (37'), Nahuelpan (88')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
Herrera (38'), Kagelmacher (57'), Bravo (68'), Torres (82'), Urreta (90')
Aug 9, 2020 7pm
Dec 15, 2019 8pm
Championship Semi-Final
Nacional
1-0
Penarol
Busquets (4'), Rojas (31'), Rodriguez (42'), Estoyanoff (45'), Lores (47'), Formiliano (95')
Lores (85'), Dawson (89')
Dec 11, 2019 11.30pm
Clausura Final
Penarol
0-2
Nacional
Form Guide
