Copa Sudamericana | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 1, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR2 - 0Penarol
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Penarol |
| 56.23% | 24.26% | 19.51% |
| Both teams to score 47.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.65% | 53.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.11% | 74.89% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% | 18.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.71% | 50.29% |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.16% | 41.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.71% | 78.29% |
| Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense 56.23%
Penarol 19.51%
Draw 24.25%
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% 2-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 5.32% 4-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.04% Total : 56.23% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.87% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.51% |
How you voted: Athletico PR vs Penarol
Athletico Paranaense
50.0%Draw
13.6%Penarol
36.4%22
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2020 1.30am
Form Guide
