Copa do Brasil | Final | 1st Leg
Nov 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Flamengo3 - 1Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Final clash between Flamengo and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Internacional 1-1 Flamengo
Wednesday, October 30 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, October 30 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, October 30 at 12.45am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, October 30 at 12.45am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
Result | ||
Flamengo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
58.87% ( -0.01) | 23.15% ( -0) | 17.97% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.85% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.87% ( 0.04) | 51.13% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.02% ( 0.04) | 72.98% ( -0.03) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% ( 0.01) | 17.06% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.77% ( 0.02) | 47.23% ( -0.01) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.69% ( 0.05) | 42.3% ( -0.04) |