MX23RW : Thursday, January 23 23:07:18| >> :60:57:57:
Corinthians
Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Oct 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Corinthians
Flamengo

Corinthians
0 - 0
Flamengo


Henrique (24'), Henrique (78')
FT

Gerson (14'), Sandro (27'), Pulgar (83')
Henrique (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa do Brasil clash between Corinthians and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Corinthians 1-1 Flamengo (Flamengo advance 2-1 on aggregate)

Corinthians rarely seem to go down without a fight in these tournaments, but Flamengo have got the job done so often at this stage that it is hard to overlook or believe that this tie can be reversed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
39.18% (0.651 0.65) 26.07% (0.275 0.27) 34.74% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)
Both teams to score 53.82% (-1.055 -1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (-1.296 -1.3)50.62% (1.294 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (-1.154 -1.15)72.53% (1.153 1.15)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (-0.241 -0.24)25.35% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (-0.33 -0.33)60.14% (0.33 0.33)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (-1.177 -1.18)27.9% (1.175 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (-1.526 -1.53)63.51% (1.523 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 39.18%
    Flamengo 34.74%
    Draw 26.07%
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.433 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.253 0.25)
3-1 @ 3.89% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.095 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 39.18%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.362 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 34.74%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Flamengo

Corinthians
38.5%
Draw
23.1%
Flamengo
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2024 1.45am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Flamengo
1-0
Corinthians
Sandro (32')
Ortiz (35'), Wesley (48'), Pulgar (59'), Barbosa (74')

Romero (29'), Hugo (62'), Andres Martinez (76')
Sep 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 25
Corinthians
2-1
Flamengo
Magno (26'), Romero (60')
Diaz (8'), Magno (20'), Andres Martinez (29'), Charles (48'), Romero (62'), Torres (90+3')
Alberto (90+5'), Caca (90+11')
Pedro (37' pen.)
Pulgar (7'), Lucas (17'), Rodrigues de Souza (65'), Moises de Lima (90+11')
Alcaraz (90+11')
May 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Flamengo
2-0
Corinthians
Pedro (20'), Lorran (63')
Pereira (63')

Romero (45+2')
Oct 8, 2023 1am
Gameweek 26
Corinthians
1-1
Flamengo
Santos (79' pen.)
Moscardo (33'), Verissimo (52'), Fagner (58')
Gerson (54')
Pulgar (41'), Pereira (77'), Henrique (90+4')
May 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Flamengo
1-0
Corinthians
Pereira (90+4')

Mendez (76'), Ramos (79')
rhs 2.0
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