MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 01:03:48| >> :600:3072416:3072416:
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 1
Celta Vigo logo

Amorebieta
2 - 4
Celta Vigo

Jauregi (30'), Rodriguez (35')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodriguez (6'), Jailson (49'), Douvikas (52', 75')
Jailson (4'), Nunez (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Amorebieta and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Amorebieta 1-2 Alcorcon
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Betis
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga

We said: Amorebieta 1-2 Celta Vigo

After a very poor first four months of the 2023-24 campaign, Celta Vigo finally started to find some form over the last month and will head into this match with bags of confidence, having lost just one of their last five matches. The hosts are expected to give this one a good go, but we are backing the visitors to progress to the last 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
AmorebietaDrawCelta Vigo
33.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 27.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 38.13% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 47.88% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)58.08% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)78.75% (0.044000000000011 0.04)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)32.11% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)68.58% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)29.48% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)65.49% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Amorebieta 33.95%
    Celta Vigo 38.13%
    Draw 27.92%
AmorebietaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.13%

How you voted: Amorebieta vs Celta Vigo

Amorebieta
4.8%
Draw
19.0%
Celta Vigo
76.2%
21
rhs 2.0
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3Arsenal1796234161833
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5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
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10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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