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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Coventry City |
22.48% ( 0.01) | 23.85% ( 0) | 53.67% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.59% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% ( -0.01) | 48.32% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.54% ( -0.01) | 70.46% ( 0.02) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.08% ( -0) | 35.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.3% ( -0) | 72.7% ( 0) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.08% ( -0.01) | 17.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.26% ( -0.02) | 48.74% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.8% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 22.48% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 11.06% 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-3 @ 5.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 53.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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