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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Norwich logo

Coventry
2 - 4
Norwich

Allen (20'), Palmer (26')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Rose (6' og.), Hernandez (10'), Sargent (18'), Dowell (65')
Aarons (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-3 Norwich City

Coventry are down to bare bones in terms of squad depth due to injuries, and that reality is showing as the Sky Blues slide down the Championship table. Norwich displayed what they are capable of doing at this level on a regular basis in their demolition of Preston last weekend, and Wagner should be confident of securing his second win at the helm on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawNorwich City
33.26% (-0.241 -0.24) 26.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 40.4% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (0.052 0.05)52.02% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (0.044 0.04)73.75% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)29.51% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (-0.159 -0.16)65.53% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.164 0.16)25.35% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (0.224 0.22)60.13% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 33.26%
    Norwich City 40.39%
    Draw 26.33%
Coventry CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.26%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.05% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.93% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.39%

How you voted: Coventry vs Norwich

Coventry City
6.7%
Draw
10.0%
Norwich City
83.3%
30
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Norwich
3-0
Coventry
Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Third Round
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-1
Coventry
Vrancic (27' pen.)
Sorensen (55'), McAlear (90+2'), Aarons (90+2')
Biamou (89')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Round Two
Norwich
6-1
Coventry
Lafferty (25'), Canos (36', 80'), Martin (58'), Murphy (63'), Godfrey (86')
Thompson (42')
Lameiras (56' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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