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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Earthy (72', 82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Conway (37')
Dijksteel (57'), Hackney (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Watford
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough

Bristol City have collected six wins from their last eight home league matches, and with that in mind, we think that the Robins will make full use of home advantage to condemn Middlesbrough to a fifth consecutive defeat to pile more pressure on Carrick. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
40.29% (0.218 0.22) 26.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 32.72% (-0.231 -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)54.76% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (-0.084 -0.08)76.07% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.071999999999989 0.07)26.66% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.094999999999999 0.09)61.91% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-0.208 -0.21)31.24% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.243 -0.24)67.59% (0.24300000000001 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 40.28%
    Middlesbrough 32.72%
    Draw 26.99%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.72%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
Draw
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
81.7%
Draw
9.9%
Middlesbrough
8.5%
71
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
0-2
Bristol City

Hackney (3'), van den Berg (8'), Azaz (13'), Doak (50'), Ayling (56')
Mehmeti (27'), Hirakawa (45+2')
McCrorie (41'), McNally (43'), Earthy (83')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
1-2
Bristol City
Silvera (90+1')
Barlaser (73')
Knight (16'), James (17')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bristol City
3-2
Middlesbrough
Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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