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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Middlesbrough logo

Bristol City
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Earthy (72', 82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Conway (37')
Dijksteel (57'), Hackney (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Watford
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Middlesbrough

Bristol City have collected six wins from their last eight home league matches, and with that in mind, we think that the Robins will make full use of home advantage to condemn Middlesbrough to a fifth consecutive defeat to pile more pressure on Carrick. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
40.29% (0.218 0.22) 26.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 32.72% (-0.231 -0.23)
Both teams to score 50.43% (-0.103 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)54.76% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (-0.084 -0.08)76.07% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.071999999999989 0.07)26.66% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.094999999999999 0.09)61.91% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-0.208 -0.21)31.24% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.243 -0.24)67.59% (0.24300000000001 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 40.28%
    Middlesbrough 32.72%
    Draw 26.99%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 40.28%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.33% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.72%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Middlesbrough

Bristol City
Draw
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
81.7%
Draw
9.9%
Middlesbrough
8.5%
71
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
0-2
Bristol City

Hackney (3'), van den Berg (8'), Azaz (13'), Doak (50'), Ayling (56')
Mehmeti (27'), Hirakawa (45+2')
McCrorie (41'), McNally (43'), Earthy (83')
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
1-2
Bristol City
Silvera (90+1')
Barlaser (73')
Knight (16'), James (17')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bristol City
3-2
Middlesbrough
Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds372310474235179
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
3Burnley372015250113975
4Sunderland371912655342169
5Bristol City38141594941857
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom371317747331456
7Coventry CityCoventry37168135248456
8Middlesbrough37158145748953
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn37157154138352
10Watford37157154750-352
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
12Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
13Millwall371212133639-348
14Queens Park RangersQPR371111154248-644
15Preston North EndPreston37917113743-644
16Swansea CitySwansea37128173847-944
17Portsmouth37119174559-1442
18Hull City371010173846-840
19Stoke CityStoke37912163750-1339
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37912163855-1739
21Cardiff CityCardiff37812174061-2136
22Derby CountyDerby3798203749-1235
23Luton TownLuton3797213460-2634
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37712183874-3633


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