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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
1 - 1
Bristol City

Salech (90')
Mannsverk (36'), Goutas (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Knight (60')
Twine (22'), McCrorie (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Cardiff
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Bristol City

Cardiff may have lost back-to-back league games on the road, but crucially, they will have home advantage in their favour for Saturday's derby clash, and after winning their last two home matches, we think that the hosts will do enough to clinch all three points against Bristol City, especially as they have won three of their last four head-to-head meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
39.89% (-0.012 -0.01) 27.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 32.64% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.019999999999996 0.02)56.6% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (0.016000000000002 0.02)77.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68%63.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (0.024000000000001 0.02)32.24% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)68.73% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 39.88%
    Bristol City 32.63%
    Draw 27.47%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 39.88%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
84.2%
Draw
5.3%
Bristol City
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bristol City
1-1
Cardiff
McNally (73')
McCrorie (49'), Sykes (90+2')
Tanner (54')
Ralls (65')
Mar 2, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 35
Bristol City
0-1
Cardiff

King (48'), Gardner-Hickman (76')
Ng (66')
Etete (15'), Wilson-Esbrand (67')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
2-0
Bristol City
Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds442713489296094
2Burnley442616261154694
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4421131058411776
5Bristol City441716115749867
6Coventry CityCoventry44199166257566
7Middlesbrough441891764541063
8Millwall441712154546-163
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn44188185046462
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom441418125244860
11Swansea CitySwansea44179184852-460
12Watford44168205158-756
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds441511185867-956
14Norwich CityNorwich441314176766153
15Queens Park RangersQPR441314175258-653
16Portsmouth441410205669-1352
17Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
18Preston North EndPreston441019154555-1049
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd441213194462-1849
20Hull City441212204352-948
21Derby CountyDerby441210224756-946
22Luton TownLuton441210224164-2346
23Cardiff CityCardiff44916194669-2343
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441013214885-3743


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