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Champions League
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Varosi Stadion

BATE
3 - 5
Aris Limassol

Gromyko (25' pen.), Martynov (48'), Laptev (90+3' pen.)
Jimoh (15'), Khadarkevich (30'), Bocherov (32')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Babicka (8'), Gomis (26'), Caju (35'), Bengtsson (56'), Stepinski (74')
Brorsson (3'), Moucketou-Moussounda (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between BATE Borisov and Aris Limassol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

BATE Borisov

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Aris Limassol 6-2 BATE
Wednesday, July 26 at 6pm in Champions League

Aris Limassol

All competitions
Last Game: Aris Limassol 6-2 BATE
Wednesday, July 26 at 6pm in Champions League

We said: BATE Borisov 1-1 Aris Limassol (Aris Limassol win 7-3 on aggregate)

 Having kicked off the first leg as something of an unknown quantity at Champions League level, Aris have already showed they can make progress in this summer's qualifiers. BATE may have the advantage of being deep into their domestic season, but without the benefit of playing on home soil they will come up short on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
BATE BorisovDrawAris Limassol
40.42% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 26.22% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 33.36% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.04% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.5% (-0.221 -0.22)51.49% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.7% (-0.193 -0.19)73.3% (0.19499999999999 0.19)
BATE Borisov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)25.09% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (-0.211 -0.21)59.79% (0.214 0.21)
Aris Limassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)29.19% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)65.13% (0.10199999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    BATE Borisov 40.41%
    Aris Limassol 33.36%
    Draw 26.22%
BATE BorisovDrawAris Limassol
1-0 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 9.02% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.36%

How you voted: BATE vs Aris

BATE Borisov
35.5%
Draw
19.4%
Aris Thessaloniki
45.2%
31
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2023 6pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Aris Limassol
6-2
BATE
Gomis (17' pen., 60'), Bengtsson (32'), Bane (39' og.), Sean Montnor (83'), Stepinski (90+1' pen.)
Kontsevoy (48'), Khadarkevich (65')
Grechiho (72'), Gromyko (87'), Islamovic (89')
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