Baltic Cup | Third Place Final
Nov 19, 2022 at 2pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Estonia2 - 0Lithuania
Coverage of the Baltic Cup Third Place Final clash between Estonia and Lithuania.
Form, Standings, Stats
Baltic Cup
Last Game: Latvia 1-1 Estonia (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
Wednesday, November 16 at 5pm in Baltic Cup
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estonia win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Lithuania |
54.18% ( 0.01) | 22.13% ( 0) | 23.7% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.91% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
