Nations League | League C
Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: Turkey 3-0 Lithuania
While Lithuania will be looking to arrest their slump, next up is the stern test of taking on a rampant Turkey side who have hit their stride at the tournament. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, and their contrasting form, we are backing the hosts to come away with all three points unscathed.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.74% . A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.62% .
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.65%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%) , while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.5%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
Result Turkey Draw Lithuania 57.74% ( 0.01) 23.64% ( 0.01) 18.62% ( -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.08)
47.85% ( -0.09) 52.14% ( 0.08)
26.13% ( -0.08) 73.86% ( 0.07)
82.16% ( -0.03) 17.84% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.41% ( -0.05) 48.58% ( 0.04)
57.85% ( -0.08) 42.14% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 21.44% ( -0.07) 78.56% ( 0.06)
Turkey 57.73%
Lithuania 18.62%
Draw 23.63%
Turkey Draw Lithuania 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 57.73% 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.63% 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 18.62%
How you voted: Turkey vs Lithuania
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rhs 2.0
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