MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 09:54:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Austrian Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 25, 2023 at 4pm UK
Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
2 - 0
Austria Lustenau

Horvat (48'), Prass (70')
Hierlander (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diallo (34'), Schierl (71'), Boateng (90+2')
Diallo (52')
Coverage of the Austrian Bundesliga clash between Sturm Graz and Austria Lustenau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Austrian Bundesliga
Last Game: Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 Sturm Graz
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Austria Lustenau

All competitions
Last Game: Austria Lustenau 2-3 Wolfsberger
Saturday, November 11 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Austria Lustenau had a probability of 14.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for an Austria Lustenau win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sturm Graz in this match.

Result
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Lustenau
65.54% (-0.125 -0.13) 19.47% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 14.99% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.26% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.37% (0.078000000000003 0.08)40.63% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (0.080999999999996 0.08)63.01% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)11.61% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.4% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)36.6% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Austria Lustenau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.25% (0.183 0.18)39.75% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.58% (0.17 0.17)76.42% (-0.166 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Sturm Graz 65.53%
    Austria Lustenau 14.99%
    Draw 19.47%
Sturm GrazDrawAustria Lustenau
2-0 @ 10.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 4.14% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 65.53%
1-1 @ 9.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.47%
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.23% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 14.99%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 4
Austria Lustenau
0-1
Sturm Graz

Matzler (64')
Wuthrich (33')
Gorenc Stankovic (5'), Kiteishvili (45+5'), Prass (45+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sturm Graz16113240162436
2Austria ViennaAustria Vienna16103326141233
3Rapid Vienna167722015528
4Wolfsberger168263123826
5Red Bull SalzburgSalzburg167542619726
6BW Linz167272021-123
7LASK LinzLASK166282426-220
8Hartberg165562022-220
9WSG Swarovski TirolSwarovski164481421-716
10Austria KlagenfurtAustria Klagenfurt164391435-2115
11Grazer AKGrazer162682133-1212
12Rheindorf AltachRheindorf Altach1624101324-1110
> Austrian Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!