Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Macarthur win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Western United has a probability of 34.24% and a draw has a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.46%) and 1-0 (5%). The likeliest Western United win is 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.55%).