Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 15
Aug 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Toolon Pallokentta
Gnistan2 - 1Mariehamn
Heiskanen (47'), Latonen (85')
Pettersson (45'), Kabashi (59')
Pettersson (45'), Kabashi (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fonsell (7')
Cardoso (36'), Auvinen (90+3')
Cardoso (36'), Auvinen (90+3')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Gnistan and IFK Mariehamn.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gnistan 2-0 Oulu
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Mariehamn 0-0 Lahti
Sunday, August 18 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Sunday, August 18 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
46.77% ( 4.05) | 24.99% ( -0.33) | 28.24% ( -3.71) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
