MX23RW : Wednesday, November 27 10:52:22| >> :60:2734:2734:
Bahrain national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī
Indonesia national football team

Bahrain
vs.
Indonesia

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Bahrain and Indonesia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 0-5 Japan
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Bahrain
Tuesday, October 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Indonesia 0-0 Australia
Tuesday, September 10 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Next Game: China vs. Indonesia
Tuesday, October 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Bahrain 2-1 Indonesia

Although Bahrain lost heavily last time out, we cannot ignore that they managed to defeat Australia in their first game on away territory. With that in mind, we are backing a narrow home victory in Riffa, which would keep them in the top three as a bare minimum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Indonesia had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Indonesia win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
BahrainDrawIndonesia
47.97% (2.229 2.23) 24.59% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 27.44% (-2.236 -2.24)
Both teams to score 55.3% (-1.592 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.84% (-1.381 -1.38)47.16% (1.381 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (-1.298 -1.3)69.4% (1.297 1.3)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.27% (0.384 0.38)19.73% (-0.384 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.25% (0.622 0.62)51.75% (-0.621 -0.62)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-2.324 -2.32)31.11% (2.323 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (-2.801 -2.8)67.44% (2.801 2.8)
Score Analysis
    Bahrain 47.97%
    Indonesia 27.44%
    Draw 24.59%
BahrainDrawIndonesia
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.676 0.68)
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.167 0.17)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.639 0.64)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.393 0.39)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.085 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.179 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.97%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.347 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.409 -0.41)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.305 -0.31)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.345 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.235 -0.24)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.44%

How you voted: Bahrain vs Indonesia

Bahrain
30.2%
Draw
9.4%
Indonesia
60.4%
106
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!