World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stad al-Bahrayn al-Watanī
Nepal0 - 5Bahrain
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nepal 0-2 Yemen
Tuesday, November 21 at 1.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, November 21 at 1.15pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Bahrain 1-3 Japan
Wednesday, January 31 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
Wednesday, January 31 at 11.30am in Asian Cup
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bahrain | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | South Korea | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Jordan | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Malaysia | 3 | -5 | 1 |
We said: Nepal 0-2 Bahrain
Bahrain have come agonisingly close to qualifying for the World Cup on a couple of occasions within the past two decades, and have consistently punched above their weight at recent Asia Cups. Nepal, on the other hand, are clearly minnows at this stage of qualifying and may struggle to score a single goal across six matches. We expect a comfortable victory for the visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahrain win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahrain win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahrain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Bahrain |
21.39% ( -1.31) | 27.8% ( 0.2) | 50.81% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 40.55% ( -1.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.55% ( -1.61) | 63.45% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.21% ( -1.17) | 82.79% ( 1.17) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.32% ( -2.3) | 45.68% ( 2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.53% ( -1.86) | 81.47% ( 1.86) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( -0.2) | 25.34% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.87% ( -0.28) | 60.13% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Nepal 21.39%
Bahrain 50.8%
Draw 27.8%
| Nepal | Draw | Bahrain |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.37)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.39% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 11.57% ( 0.67)2-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.43% Total : 27.8% | 0-1 @ 15.89% ( 0.84) 0-2 @ 10.9% ( 0.51)1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.98% Total : 50.8% |
How you voted: Nepal vs Bahrain
Nepal
46.7%Draw
20.0%Bahrain
33.3%15
