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World Cup
Saudi Arabia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Oct 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Bahrain national football team

Saudi Arabia
vs.
Bahrain

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-2 Japan
Thursday, October 10 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Bahrain

All competitions
Last Game: Bahrain 2-2 Indonesia
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We say: Saudi Arabia 3-1 Bahrain

 While Bahrain have picked up two positive results in their three outings, including a phenomenal 1-0 win against Australia, we believe Saudi Arabia boast more talent throughout their squad, suggesting a win for the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Bahrain has a probability of 27.85% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Bahrain win is 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.48%).

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawBahrain
45.86% (0.879 0.88) 26.28% (-2.283 -2.28) 27.85% (1.404 1.4)
Both teams to score 50.29% (7.191 7.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (8.729 8.73)53.86% (-8.728 -8.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (6.849 6.85)75.32% (-6.847 -6.85)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (4.401 4.4)23.43% (-4.399 -4.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56% (5.994 5.99)57.43% (-5.993 -5.99)
Bahrain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (5.961 5.96)34.32% (-5.96 -5.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (5.885 5.89)71.02% (-5.885 -5.89)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 45.85%
    Bahrain 27.85%
    Draw 26.29%
Saudi ArabiaDrawBahrain
1-0 @ 11.66% (-2.67 -2.67)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.716 0.72)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.703 -0.7)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.824 0.82)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.726 0.73)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.452 0.45)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.235 0.24)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 45.85%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.55 -0.55)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-3.168 -3.17)
2-2 @ 4.84% (1.051 1.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.6% (-1.59 -1.59)
1-2 @ 6.67% (0.745 0.75)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.582 0.58)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.577 0.58)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.234 0.23)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.85%

Who will win Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Saudi Arabia and Bahrain?

Saudi Arabia
Draw
Bahrain
Saudi Arabia
82.0%
Draw
11.5%
Bahrain
6.6%
61
rhs 2.0
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