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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Flint Town

Malkin (61'), Horan (73')
Horan (59'), Nash (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Harrison (6'), Owen (58'), Stephens (64')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Flint Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 New Saints
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Flint Town 2-1 Caernarfon
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 71.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawFlint Town United
71.35% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2) 17.87% (0.029 0.03) 10.78% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.05% (0.486 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.39% (0.328 0.33)43.61% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34% (0.32 0.32)66% (-0.322 -0.32)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.09% (0.037999999999997 0.04)10.91% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.92% (0.085999999999999 0.09)35.08% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.68% (0.523 0.52)48.31% (-0.525 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.54% (0.376 0.38)83.46% (-0.378 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 71.34%
    Flint Town United 10.78%
    Draw 17.87%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawFlint Town United
2-0 @ 12.93% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 11.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 9.55% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.29% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.85% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.051 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.71% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 71.34%
1-1 @ 8.5% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.27% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 17.87%
0-1 @ 3.83% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.09% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 10.78%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Flint Town
0-4
Connah's Quay

Harwood (35')
Bradley (28'), Hayes (39'), Donohue (66'), Hughes (70' pen.)
Hughes (33'), Beaumont (90')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Connah's Quay
2-1
Flint Town
Bradley (7'), Gosset (38')
Edwards (20'), Hughes (30'), Gosset (84')
Wilde (17')
Maher (48'), Edwards (59'), Jones (83')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Flint Town
1-1
Connah's Quay
Bratley (90+5')
Bratley (90+3')
Simpson (38')
Harrington (90'), Horan (90'), Edwards (90+3')
Mar 9, 2021 7.45pm
Flint Town
0-1
Connah's Quay

Bratley (25'), Lockley (26'), Gumbs (29'), Hughes (55')
Wilde (81')
rhs 2.0
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