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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Newtown logo

Caernarfon
vs.
Newtown

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-1 Connah's Quay
Saturday, September 28 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Cardiff MU vs. Caernarfon
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-6 New Saints
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Newtown vs. Flint Town
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Newtown AFC has a probability of 31.31% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win is 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
44.27% (-0.439 -0.44) 24.42% (0.144 0.14) 31.31% (0.296 0.3)
Both teams to score 58.34% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.73% (-0.521 -0.52)44.27% (0.524 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35% (-0.508 -0.51)66.64% (0.50999999999999 0.51)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87% (-0.401 -0.4)20.13% (0.403 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.6% (-0.649 -0.65)52.39% (0.652 0.65)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)26.95% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)62.28% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 44.27%
    Newtown AFC 31.31%
    Draw 24.42%
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 44.27%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.122 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.035 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.31%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-4
Caernarfon

Jones (24'), Owen (40')
Mooney (6'), Davies (69'), Clarke (89'), Sutton (90+4' og.)
Sutton (22'), Sharp (36'), Downey (43'), Mendes (83')
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
5-0
Caernarfon
Williams (35', 54'), Hughes (64'), Ismail (77' pen.), Robles (90+4')
Sutton (41')

Mooney (90+3')
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Caernarfon
1-0
Newtown
Gosset (37')

Sutton (90+5')
Oct 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Newtown
4-0
Caernarfon
Williams (40', 45+3', 71'), Sears (85')
Evans (51'), Sutton (57'), Cowans (73'), Sears (77'), Mills-Evans (89'), Jones (90+3')

Donohue (90+5')
Aug 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
2-1
Newtown
Mooney (40'), Lloyd (90+1')
Clarke (45+4'), Davies (53'), Mooney (60'), Thomas (84')
Davies (82')
Williams (90+10')
Evans (18'), Roberts (68'), Ismail (80'), Boakye (84')
rhs 2.0
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OT
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