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Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal
Sevilla logo

Villarreal
4 - 0
Sevilla

Bacca (34', 47', 79'), Moreno (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Carlos (29'), Acuna (51')
Carlos (52')

Preview: Villarreal vs. Sevilla - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seventh will welcome fourth in La Liga on Sunday evening as Villarreal and Sevilla prepare to lock horns at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Villarreal can finish as high as fifth this season, while Sevilla could still finish second, but Julen Lopetegui's side are no longer in the title race despite an excellent last couple of months.


Match preview

Villarreal's Manu Trigueros celebrates scoring against Arsenal in the Europa League on April 29, 2021© Reuters

Villarreal will enter Sunday's contest off the back of a 2-0 victory at Real Valladolid on Thursday evening, with Gerard Moreno and Etienne Capoue scoring in the second half to secure all three points.

The Yellow Submarine are currently seventh in the table, level on points with sixth-placed Real Betis and just a point behind fifth-placed Real Sociedad, with the three sides seemingly fighting for the spot just outside the Champions League positions.

Unai Emery's side could still qualify for next season's Champions League, though, as they will take on Manchester United in the final of the Europa League at the end of the month.

Villarreal actually have an incredibly tough end to the season, with a trip to Real Madrid to come on the final weekend, and Los Blancos will still hope to be in the title race entering that match.

The Europa League finalists have found it difficult to show consistency at home in the league this season, winning seven, drawing six and losing five of their 18 matches on their own patch, and they will be welcoming a Sevilla team that have won 10 times on their travels in La Liga this term.

Sevilla's Marcos Acuna celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on April 4, 2021© Reuters

Sevilla could still finish level on points with leaders Atletico, but Diego Simeone's side have a better head-to-head record, meaning that Los Nervionenses are not able to win the title even if they pick up six more points and Atletico, Real Madrid and Barcelona all lose their next two.

Lopetegui's team are only two points behind third-placed Barca, though, and there is no question that it would go down as a successful campaign if they managed to break into the top three.

Sevilla's form between March 14 and April 25 was incredible, managing to win seven of their eight league matches, remaining unbeaten in the process, to pull themselves into title contention.

Lopetegui's side lost at home to Athletic Bilbao at the start of the month, though, before dropping two more points away to Real Madrid, which all but ended their title hopes.

The 1945-46 Spanish champions, who beat Valencia 1-0 on Wednesday night, will be determined to finish their season with wins over Villarreal and Alaves, which might yet be enough to climb into the top three.

Villarreal La Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Villarreal form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W

Sevilla La Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Arsenal's Emile Smith Rowe in action with Villarreal's Francis Coquelin in the Europa League on May 6, 2021© Reuters

Villarreal will be missing at least six first-team players this weekend, including Mario Gaspar, Geronimo Rulli and Capoue, who are all suspended.

Vicente Iborra, Juan Foyth and Samuel Chukwueze are also unavailable through injury, meanwhile, but Francis Coquelin could shake off a knock to feature at the base of the midfield.

There might be a start in the final third of the field for Yeremi Pino, but Paco Alcacer and Gerard Moreno should both keep their spots as Emery looks to cause Sevilla problems in a defensive area.

As for the visitors, head coach Lopetegui has a full complement of players, and there are expected to be a number of changes from the side that started against Valencia.

Marcos Acuna, Fernando, Papu Gomez, Lucas Ocampos and Ivan Rakitic should all return to the first XI, but Jesus Navas, Jules Kounde and Diego Carlos are likely to retain their spots at the back.

Luuk de Jong is an option for change in the final third of the field, but Youssef En-Nesyri scored his 18th league goal of the season against Valencia and should retain his spot.

Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Asenjo; Pena, Albiol, Torres, Pedraza; Parejo, Coquelin, Trigueros; G Moreno, Alcacer, Pino

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Bounou; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Acuna; Fernando, Rakitic, Gomez; Suso, En-Nesyri, Ocampos


SM words green background

We say: Villarreal 1-1 Sevilla

Villarreal are certainly a team to be respected at this level of football, and we fancy the Yellow Submarine to claim a share of the spoils here. Sevilla's momentum has been broken recently, and the corresponding match between the two sides last season ended in a draw, which leads us to predict a stalemate here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:447530:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10905:
Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Villarreal vs Sevilla

Villarreal
Draw
Sevilla
Villarreal
25.8%
Draw
26.8%
Sevilla
47.4%
97
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Villarreal177642928127
6Mallorca188371821-327
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna176742225-325
10Real BetisBetis176652021-124
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
13Celta Vigo176382528-321
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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