Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Apr 23, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Profesor Alberto Suppici
Plaza Colonia1 - 2Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 2-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Penarol 0-2 Millonarios
Thursday, April 20 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, April 20 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.97%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Penarol |
22.71% ( 0.74) | 25.34% ( 0.58) | 51.95% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
