Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13

May 22, 2022 at 10pm UK

Parque Maracaná

Cerrito
0 - 2
Wanderers

Calzada (15'), Villoldo (37'), Vila (77')
Pimienta (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ferreira (18'), Mendez (86')
Veglio (27'), Quagliata (67'), Hernandez (77')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerrito and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Cerrito	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
25.6% ( 0.22)	26.48% ( -0.23)	47.91% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.01% (

0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.03% (

0.99)

55.97% (

-0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.93% (

0.8)

77.07% (

-0.8)

Cerrito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67% (

0.74)

37.33% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89% (

0.72)

74.11% (

-0.72)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

0.44)

23.39% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

0.63)

57.37% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Cerrito 25.6%

Montevideo Wanderers 47.91%

Draw 26.48%

Cerrito	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.6%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.91%