Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Wanderers0 - 1Lanus
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Lanus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 1-2 Boston River
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | -2 | 20 |
Last Game: Rosario 0-0 Lanus
Monday, June 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, June 6 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Lanus vs. Defensa
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, June 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Lanus |
| 42.6% | 26.11% | 31.3% |
| Both teams to score 52.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.39% | 51.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.6% | 73.4% |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% | 24.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.7% | 58.3% |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.38% | 30.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.14% | 66.86% |
| Score Analysis |
Montevideo Wanderers 42.6%
Lanus 31.3%
Draw 26.1%
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.6% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.71% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 2.9% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.3% |
How you voted: Wanderers vs Lanus
Montevideo Wanderers
40.0%Draw
0.0%Lanus
60.0%5
Form Guide
