Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7

Jul 23, 2022 at 7pm UK

Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera

Albion
1 - 3
Penarol

Neris (61' pen.)
Callorda (32'), Platero (35'), Ndong (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ramos (28'), Laquintana (76'), Saravia (86')
Arias (8'), Aguirregaray (32'), Musto (81'), Ceppelini (83'), Alonso (90+5')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Albion and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Albion had a probability of 16.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.68%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an Albion win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Albion	Draw	Penarol
16.11% ( -0.11)	24.17% ( 0.23)	59.72% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 41.68% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.49% (

-0.94)

57.51% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.7% (

-0.75)

78.3% (

0.75)

Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.53% (

-0.71)

48.47% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.43% (

-0.52)

83.57% (

0.52)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.89% (

-0.4)

19.11% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.27% (

-0.66)

50.73% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Albion 16.11%

Penarol 59.71%

Draw 24.17%

Albion	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.11%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.48% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 15.32% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 12.68% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 59.71%