Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Neuchatel Xamax had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Neuchatel Xamax win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
