Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for FC Zurich had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.23%) and 0-1 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a FC Zurich win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.