Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.