Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 53.94%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.19%) and 0-1 (7.05%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 2-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
