Basel

3 - 2

Luzern

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Luzern win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.