Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Servette had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
