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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 2
Fenerbahce

Holse (48'), Aydogdu (88')
Reis (10'), Satka (13'), Becao (52'), Kilinc (55'), Bola (57'), Djiku (90+5'), Mouandilmadji (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tadic (24'), Saint-Maximin (62')
Kostic (9'), Ntcham (14'), Fred (40'), Ait Bennasser (76'), Kahveci (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-3 Samsunspor
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 1-1 Fenerbahce

Both teams are entering this game with a point to prove, while also hoping to avoid a wider points gap between them and the league leaders. With this in mind, both teams might adopt a cautious approach, and this is why we are predicting that the game will end in a draw, though we expect goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 20.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 1-0 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawFenerbahce
20.37% (0.529 0.53) 24.28% (0.052 0.05) 55.34% (-0.583 -0.58)
Both teams to score 48.4% (0.623 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (0.421 0.42)52.43% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (0.36 0.36)74.11% (-0.363 -0.36)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.63% (0.813 0.81)40.36% (-0.816 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (0.729 0.73)76.98% (-0.733 -0.73)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)18.84% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (-0.105 -0.11)50.28% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 20.37%
    Fenerbahce 55.34%
    Draw 24.28%
SamsunsporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.038 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.22% (0.134 0.13)
2-0 @ 3.13% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.58% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.32% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 0.95% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 20.37%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.28%
0-1 @ 12.69% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 10.59% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.9% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 5.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 2.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 55.34%

How you voted: Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce

Samsunspor
Draw
Fenerbahce
Samsunspor
11.8%
Draw
17.6%
Fenerbahce
70.6%
34
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 21
Fenerbahce
1-1
Samsunspor
Kahveci (12')
Muldur (52')
Kilinc (62')
Mouandilmadji (20'), Kocuk (84'), Holse (90+5')
Aug 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Samsunspor
0-2
Fenerbahce

van Drongelen (90+7')
Dzeko (62'), Szymanski (90+8')
Muldur (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray27225068274171
2Fenerbahce26195263234062
3Samsunspor27156644301451
4BesiktasBesiktas26128639261344
5EyupsporEyupspor27128740291144
6GaziantepGaziantep26115103635138
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK26107944341037
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul26106104137436
9TrabzonsporTrabzonspor2698943311235
10KasimpasaKasimpasa2781184752-535
11Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor27103143446-1233
12AntalyasporAntalyaspor2796123051-2133
13KonyasporKonyaspor2787123340-731
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor2787123140-931
15Bodrumspor2786132029-930
16SivassporSivasspor2776143345-1227
17KayserisporKayserispor2669112746-1927
18Hatayspor2647152946-1719
19Adana Demirspor2624202560-35-2


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