Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
