Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 67.54%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 12.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.99%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
