We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-1 Yeni Malatyaspor
After conceding five last time out, there may be an opportunity for Yeni Malatyaspor to get on the scoresheet this weekend, but it is unlikely to be enough to claim any points.
Playing against the Super Lig's bottom side gives Karagumruk a good chance to bounce back from their heavy defeat, and in front of their own crowd they are expected to collect three points on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 60.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fatih Karagumruk in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fatih Karagumruk.
