Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 8, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Gaziantep Arena
Gaziantep3 - 1Karagumruk
We said: Gaziantep 2-1 Fatih Karagumruk
This is one of those fixtures that could easily go either way as there is little to choose between the sides. That said, we are backing Gaziantep to emerge victorious, narrowly edging out their visitors by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gaziantep | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 46.82% | 24.07% | 29.12% |
| Both teams to score 58.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
