Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Yeni Malatyaspor win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.