Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 77.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 8.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.43%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.