Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 2-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.