On Thursday, Solomon Islands will come up against Tahiti at the Al-Arabi Stadium, with the two sides battling it out in World Cup 2022 qualifying.
Group A in Oceania qualifying has been widely affected by COVID-19 cases, with Vanuatu forced to withdraw, while Cook Islands were unable to field a team in their second match of the tournament.
Match preview
After Vanuatu withdrew and Cook Islands unable to field a team it seems as though Solomon Islands will progress to the semi-finals.
Despite the chaotic scenario that has unfolded in Oceania qualifying, the Solomon Islands will need to remain focused if they are to reach the inter-confederation playoffs.
Before the COVID-19 outbreaks, the side ranked 141 in the world got their campaign of the perfect start, with a 2-0 victory over the Cook Islands.
Atkin Kaua grabbed the opener in the 25th minute before Alwin Hou scored what proved to be the final goal in first-half stoppage time to secure the Solomon Islands a 2-0 victory.
Although it seems they will advance to semi-finals regardless of Thursday's result, Felipe Vega-Arango's side will be hoping to carry momentum into the final four with a win over Tahiti.
Meanwhile, their opponents on Thursday are yet to play in qualifying after their scheduled opener against the Cook Islands was postponed.
With Vanuatu not taking part in qualifying, Thursday's contest represents Tahiti's sole group stage game.
Although Tahiti are expected to also advance to the semi-finals, they will be desperate to get some minutes under their belt.
They will also be hoping to finish in first position in the group as they look to avoid New Zealand in the last four, with the Kiwis expected to top Group B.
Samuel Garcia's charges will be confident that they can pick up the three points, as they seek to draw inspiration from the 3-0 win that they achieved against the Solomon Islands in the last competitive meeting between the two nations in 2019.
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Team News
Tahiti's all-time goal scorer Teaonui Tehau will be of the key players for Garcia's side on Thursday, and he could be joined in the front line by Raimana Li Fung Kuee.
Meanwhile, Teaonui Tehau's cousin is expected to feature, with Alwin Tehau set to line up in midfield.
After scoring in the opening qualifier, Kaua and Hou will both retain their places in the starting lineup.
Gagame Feni came on in the second half against Cook Islands, and he could be in contention to start on Thursday.
Solomon Islands possible starting lineup:
Mango; Aengari, Kalu, Kofana, Tahunipue; Kaua, Lea'alafa, Hou, Feni, Komas; Nawo
Tahiti possible starting lineup:
Teamotuaitau; Paama, Barbe, Paraue, Heitaa; Bourebare, A. Tehau, Tetauira, Keck; T. Tehau, Li Fung Kuee
We say: Solomon Islands 1-2 Tahiti
Tahiti have had plenty time to prepare for this encounter following the postponement of their encounter with Vanuata, and we think that the fresh legs of Tahiti will help them claim a narrow win on Thursday.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tahiti win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tahiti win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.16%) and 2-3 (4.79%). The likeliest Solomon Islands win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
