Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Spezia
36.89% ( -0.8)	28.88% ( 0.11)	34.23% ( 0.7)

Both teams to score 45.15% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.54% (

-0.3)

61.45% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.66% (

-0.22)

81.33% (

0.22)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.07% (

-0.65)

31.92% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.62% (

-0.75)

68.37% (

0.75)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

0.32)

33.67% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

0.34)

70.32% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 36.89%

Spezia 34.23%

Draw 28.87%

Sudtirol	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 12.27% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.83% Total : 36.89%	1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.87%	0-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 34.23%