Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Como had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
2.26) 
-0.38) 
